The Policy Value of Quantitative Atrocity Forecasting Models

Sascha Nanlohy, Charles Butcher and Benjamin E Goldsmith

Quantitative models allow policymakers to effectively identify which areas are most at risk of mass atrocities.

The Rebalance to Asia Under Trump: What Comes Next?

Patrick Cullen

In contrast to earlier predictions, President Donald Trump's policies towards Asia may not radically depart from those of the previous administration.

A Smaller, Nimbler Chinese Military: Xi Jinping Takes Control

Hsin Kuei Yu

President Xi Jinping is attempting to modernise China’s military through wide-ranging reforms. But the reforms are also intended to once again bring the military under the absolute rule of the Communist Party.

Lessons Learned so far from the ‘Global Laundromat’ Scheme

Sarah Lain

The UK Economic Secretary to the Treasury and banks have been criticised by MPs over Britain’s alleged role in a transnational money laundering scheme. However, closer examination shows that combating money laundering may not be as simple as MPs and other critics think.

Iran in Yemen: Ending the Houthi War

James Shinnie

With the US recently increasing its air operations in Yemen, the West still has a role to play in the Houthi conflict. But what conditions need to be in place for the coalition to triumph conclusively?

RUSI Newsbrief Vol. 37, No. 2

This issue of Newsbrief includes articles on how Brexit might affect the UK's sanctions policy, how new technologies could transform the Met police, and why Turkey's spy network in Germany is straining the relationship between the two countries, as well as articles on Yemen, China, UN peacekeeping, and a global money laundering scheme.

Cheap at Half the Price: Why UN Peacekeeping is Good Value for Money

Fred Carver

US President Donald Trump is threatening to cut his country’s contribution to the UN peacekeeping budget. But this could end up being the more expensive option in the long run.

Brexit and the UK’s Sanctions Policy: From Leader to Follower

Tom Keatinge

As a member of the EU, the UK has been a strong leader in the design and implementation of sanctions. Brexit will create complexity for policymakers and the private sector and result in a loss of UK influence and effectiveness.

Policing the Digital Metropolis: Technology and the Metropolitan Police Service

Alexander Babuta

Only when the Met chooses to embrace new technologies will it realise its goal of becoming, in its own words, ‘the first truly digital police force’.

Chinese Arms Exports Contradict Its International Messaging

James Shinnie

The People’s Republic of China has recently signed a deal to create a military UAV factory in Saudi Arabia, providing a potential new market for the growing Chinese arms industry. China’s burgeoning presence as an arms manufacturer is likely to become a key defence issue in coming years