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Even if an operation to seize the island were to go flawlessly, it may change little for the US position in the Iran war. “The big question,” Nick Reynolds, of the Royal United Services Institute in London, said, “is what then?”

The Ukrainians trying to defend Bakhmut lost 10,000 people, killed and wounded over the course of the defence of Bakhmut, which is a small market town, and that would almost be the entire infantry force in the British military”, he warned. The researcher also warned that the UK is critically short of artillery, after having given large amounts to Ukraine.