Why Iran won’t readily replace Russian oil and gas

Featured in Asia Times

Iran Nuclear Deal


“If the agreement falls apart, Iran will not receive the economic benefits that it has been after throughout these negotiations, so I would imagine that these new Russian demands – particularly if they turn out to not be directly related to the implementation of JCPOA provisions – will be creating some significant frustration, not just in DC and European capitals, but also in Tehran,” said Darya Dolzikova, a research fellow at the Royal United Service Institute’s Proliferation and Nuclear Policy Program. “This may force Iran to work more closely with the other negotiating parties to figure out a way to save the agreement, if Russian demands threaten that. I also wonder what lessons Iran is learning about dealing with Russia from watching its invasion of Ukraine and now seeing these new demands in Vienna,” she told Asia Times. “The two countries have always had a complicated relationship, but I would imagine Russia’s recent actions will only multiply any doubts that may exist in Tehran over placing trust in its dealings with Russia.”