Towards an Assessment of North Korea’s Strategic Deterrent

This image, released on 29 November 2017, shows the test launch of North Korea’s Hwasong-15 ICBM. In the best-case scenario for Pyongyang, each warhead it fires at the US has only around a one in seven chance of arriving. Image courtesy of KCNA/UPI

North Korea’s latest ballistic missile test shows that it is determined to create an effective nuclear deterrent. But what is the likelihood of a single North Korean warhead successfully hitting a target in the US?   

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Topics

• Air Power
• Global WMD Issues

Regions and Country Groups

• Americas
• United States
• Asia and the Pacific
• North Korea

Research Groups

• Proliferation and Nuclear Policy

WRITTEN BY

Tom Plant

Senior Associate Fellow

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