The U.S. election is a make-or-break moment for aid to Ukraine

Tim Willasey-Wilsey, senior associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, a defense think tank, commented that “the immediate peril” for Ukraine comes from the 2024 U.S. presidential election. “The forthcoming presidential election in the US represents the point of maximum danger. A win by Donald Trump could see him placing a phone call to Russian President Vladimir Putin as early as 6 November. Any such call would set expectations of a negotiated settlement, with discussions possibly beginning in the early months of 2025,” he said.