RUSI JournalVOLUME 165ISSUE 7members only

Major Theatre War: Russia Attacks the Baltic States


Main Image Credit Courtesy of Mil.ru/Wikimedia: Russian ships Mordovia and Yevgeniy Kocheshkov landing in Kaliningrad Oblast. Adapted from original


A hypothetical article on a future conflict takes stock of how NATO lost the Baltic states and the implications for the Alliance.

In the event of future Russian aggression in the Baltic region, the initial defence will almost certainly fail. Many experts believe that NATO’s potential military strength is enough to assure deterrence. Accordingly, Alliance troop presence on NATO’s eastern flank is sparse indeed. Yet, repeated Russian aggression in the European security space suggests caution. Should the Baltic states be overrun, as in 1940, it is far from clear that Allies will contribute strong forces to

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