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Modelling the Vulnerability of Aircraft Carriers in the European Theatre


This article uses a variety of salvo combat models to generate a crude outline of the vulnerability of an aircraft carrier manoeuvring in the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea or the Barents Sea in a conflict involving NATO and Russia.

Discussions regarding the military utility of aircraft carriers have, in recent years, had an unfortunate tendency to veer between complacent and apocalyptic. To its detractors, the aircraft carrier is little more than a white elephant comparable to the battleship in its day. Moreover, improving ISR systems are enabling peer competitors to track and target manoeuvring assets at sea. However, important caveats often go unstated. The ISR assets, kill chains and strike assets

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Dr Sidharth Kaushal

Research Fellow, Sea Power

Military Sciences

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