Deterring Kremlin Grey Zone Aggression Against NATO

The underlying calculation is that a war-weary society subjected to sustained attacks ight exert pressure on the government to accept almost any settlement that promises an end to hostilities...Thus far, however, this strategy has proven ineffective, as Ukrainians have demonstrated remarkable resilience."

By the time you’ve woken up and phoned the police and the claim has been made, that vehicle will be gone...In the 1990s the government was able to mandate immobilisers and that flatlined crime. Now it’s much more sophisticated and we need to look at doing something similar.”

There remains a danger that international norms with regards to the prohibition of military attacks against nuclear power plants, and the efforts by the IAEA to clarify and strengthen nuclear safety and security norms during armed conflicts would be ignored in other conflicts."

Vladimir Putin came to the Alaska summit with the principal goal of stalling any pressure on Russia to end the war. He will consider the summit outcome as mission accomplished.

Trump remains bafflingly unwilling to apply the maximum economic pressure on Russia that would mean summits like those held yesterday are more likely to yield the success Donald Trump craves.

If Putin’s military objective was to avoid immediate constraints on Russian operations in Ukraine, then he appears to have succeeded: the continued intensity of fighting reinforces the impression that the Russians are prioritising changing facts on the ground ahead of any ceasefire.