By claiming to have deployed a sophisticated air-defence system, Russia may be attempting to force the international coalition to think twice before undertaking air strikes in Syria without consultations with Moscow
Tensions between Israel and Hizbullah have risen sharply in the past week, but despite the animosity between the two sides, regional strategic calculations mean both sides will step back from the brink of all out war.
The regional strategic context stands in contrast to 2008-09. The government in Cairo is now much more sensitive to popular sentiment, which has been inflamed by the violence. Egypt’s reaction to the conflict will be of keen interest to regional observers.