For all the Sturm und Drang over the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran, neither side has answered the crucial question the Trump administration faces if it abrogates the deal: ‘And then what?’
Although power has shifted from West to East in recent years, the US remains the core of the liberal international order. The election of Donald Trump is a profound shock to that order, particularly in parts of the world that depend on a predictable and stable US military presence and commitment.
Olusegun Obasanjo, Dickie Davis, David Kilcullen and Greg Mills
Voters in Colombia have rejected a landmark peace deal with FARC rebels in a shock referendum result, with 50.2% voting against it. This represents a serious setback – but not a fatal one – to efforts to end one of the modern world’s most prolonged conflicts.
Despite some vocal opposition, Barack Obama now has enough support in the US senate to ensure the Iran nuclear deal is approved. Domestic manoeuvring and foreign interventions characterise the president's success.
Mechanisms for dispute resolution and sanctions ‘snap back’ will be amongst the most important of the new Iran deal. They are also the most difficult to understand, and contain potentially problematic areas of ambiguity.
This Whitehall Paper brings together wide-ranging perspectives on the post-ABM Treaty missile defence debate: the policies in the UK, US, EU, NATO, Japan and Taiwan, among others, and the scientific...