War in Ukraine
Moscow had been pushing ahead with a "localized" effort in the west of Ukraine's Donetsk region at the end of the month, but "likely lack the wider operational capacity to mount a separate renewed offensive operation in Donetsk Oblast or elsewhere on the front this summer," the ISW evaluated. This assessment is broadly correct, agreed Nick Reynolds, a research fellow in land warfare at the London-based Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank. But the situation is "fragile for both sides" and "very unpredictable," he told Newsweek.
