Overview
The Russian Invasion of Ukraine has provided air forces around the world with a wealth of data – albeit much of it still incomplete – on live air-to-air, air-to-surface and surface-to-air engagements in a high-intensity peer conflict. The world of air power and defence more broadly has changed almost beyond recognition in a year.
The use of air power by both the Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) and the Ukrainian Air Force has differed significantly both from pre-war expectations and from the traditional Western approach. Nevertheless, there are many vital lessons yet to be identified. In the Indo-Pacific, the US and its allies are also increasingly concerned by the ever-more assertive Chinese posture towards Taiwan, alongside the rapid pace of ongoing People’s Liberation Army Air Force aircraft, sensor, weapons and C2 modernisation. It remains to be seen what impact Russia’s invasion will have on the long-term relationship between Moscow and Beijing, but both countries remain resolutely on course for continued confrontation with the West. The Chinese military will undoubtedly benefit greatly in the next few years from implementing changes based on lessons learned by observing Russian failures in Ukraine.
The failure of the VKS to achieve air superiority over the much smaller and less well-equipped Ukrainian Air Force during the first year of the invasion should serve as a wake-up call to Western air forces too. Any air force can appear powerful on paper yet still fail to perform against a peer or even near-peer enemy if it has neglected the fundamentals of regular, realistic training at scale for pilots, maintainers and planners; large munition stocks; resilient logistics; SEAD/DEAD capabilities; and regular planning and exercising across the domains. Some of these traditional fundamentals are decidedly uncomfortable for many European air forces after decades optimising around small-scale operations in semi-permissive airspace. However, to re-establish and maintain deterrence and maintain freedom of access to the air domain, it is vital that Western air forces learn from and adapt to the Russian and Ukrainian experiences of the war faster than their adversaries do.
This RUSI conference will provide an independent forum for senior leaders from the RAF, the US Air Force and other key NATO allies and partners, as well as policymakers and thought leaders from industry and the think tank sector, to discuss and debate the best ways forward. It takes place at a critical time, with many countries – including the UK – refreshing their defence plans and budgets, and NATO preparing to integrate two new and very innovative partners: Sweden and Finland. There has seldom been a better time to challenge, share ideas and learn from each other.
Ticket pricing
In Person Conference Tickets
- RUSI Member price: £120 (inc VAT)
- Non-Member price: £480 (incl VAT)
- Non-Member concession price: £240 (incl VAT)
- Students, under 30s, over 65s and serving military personnel are eligible for our non-member concessionary rate.
Online Conference Tickets
- RUSI Member price: £30
- Non-Member price: £60
Speakers
Confirmed speakers include:
- General Mark Kelly, Commander, Air Combat Command, United States Air Force
- Air Marshal Sir Rich Knighton, Deputy Commander (Capability), Royal Air Force
- Major General Juha-Pekka Keränen, Commander, Finnish Air Force
- Major General Rolf Folland, Commander, Royal Norwegian Air Force
- Major General Jonas Wikman, Commander, Swedish Air Force
- Air Vice Marshal Phil Robinson, Air Officer Commanding No 11 Group, Royal Air Force
- Mr Richard Berthon, Director Future Combat Air, UK MOD
- General (ret.) Jeffrey "Cobra" Harrigian, Former Commander United States Air Forces Europe and Africa, now at Lockheed Martin Aerospace.
- Sir Andrew Pulford, Senior Military Advisor, BAE Systems
- Dr Viktoriya Fedorchak, Lecturer in War Studies, Swedish Defence University
- Ms Heather Penney, Senior Fellow, Mitchell Institute
- Ms Dara Massicot, Senior Policy Researcher, RAND Corporation
- Dr Sophy Antrobus, Research Fellow, Freeman Air and Space Institute
- Professor Justin Bronk, Senior Research Fellow, Airpower, RUSI
- Dr Jack Watling, Senior Research Fellow, Land Warfare, RUSI
- Ms Isabella Antinozzi, Research Analyst, Defence Industry, RUSI
Agenda
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REGISTRATION
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Keynote Address
Chair: Professor Malcolm Chalmers, Deputy Director General, RUSI
Speaker: Air Marshal Sir Rich Knighton, Deputy Commander (Capability), Royal Air Force
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Session One: The Russian Threat Trajectory
Chair: Dara Massicot, Senior Policy Researcher, RAND
Speakers:
- Dr Jack Watling, Senior Research Fellow for Land Warfare, RUSI
Military Trajectory and Implications in Ukraine - Professor Justin Bronk, Senior Research Fellow for Airpower, RUSI
Implications for European NATO Air Forces of long-term Russian Threat
- Dr Jack Watling, Senior Research Fellow for Land Warfare, RUSI
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BREAK
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Session Two: Survivability Through Adaptation
Chair: Dr Sophy Antrobus, Research Fellow, Freeman Air and Space Institute
Speakers:
- Maj Gen Rolf Folland, Chief of the Royal Norwegian Air Force
Surviving and Winning Next to Russia’s Arctic Bastion - Air Vice Marshal Phil Robinson, AoC 11 Group, RAF
Implementing Agile Combat Employment for the RAF - General (ret.) “Cobra” Harrigian, former Commander USAFE, now Lockheed Martin
Agile Combat Employment in USAFE
- Maj Gen Rolf Folland, Chief of the Royal Norwegian Air Force
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LUNCH
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Session Three: Survivability by Design - The Dispersal Model
Chair: Lt Col. Dag Henriksen, Head of R&D, Royal Norwegian Air Force Academy
Speakers:
- Maj Gen. Jonas Wikman, Chief of Staff, Swedish Air Force
Base 90, Dispersed Maintenance and Training to Fight Dispersed - Maj Gen. Juha-Pekka Keränen, Chief of Staff, Finnish Air Force
Dispersal and Stand-off Strike Capability - Dr Viktoriya Fedorchak, Lecturer in War Studies, Swedish Defence University
What NATO Air Forces Can Learn from The Nordic Experience
- Maj Gen. Jonas Wikman, Chief of Staff, Swedish Air Force
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BREAK
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Session Four: Balancing Next-Generation Programmes and Force Modernisation
Chair: Paul O’Neill, Director of Military Sciences, RUSI
Speakers:
- Heather Penney, Senior Fellow, Mitchell Institute
The USAF Challenge with the New, the Old, and Global Requirements - Richard Berthon, Director Future Combat Air, UK MOD
GCAP: A unique Combat Air collaboration between the UK, Japan and Italy - Ian Muldowney, Chief Operating Officer for BAE Systems Air
The industrial and operational outlook for GCAP and FCAS - Isabella Antinozzi, Research Analyst in Defence Industry, RUSI
Challenges and opportunities for Italy balancing Tempest and the F-35
- Heather Penney, Senior Fellow, Mitchell Institute
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Closing Keynote Address
Chair: Professor Justin Bronk, Senior Research Fellow for Airpower, RUSI
Speaker: General Mark Kelly, Commander of Air Combat Command, United States Air Force
Sponsors
Conference Sponsor: BAE Systems
At BAE Systems, our people develop technologies to help Governments, their armed forces and security services defend countries, in the air, at sea, on land, in space and in the cyber domain. In the UK we build submarines, warships and some of the world’s most advanced military aircraft, and integrate defence and security systems across all domains. We also maintain and upgrade the Royal Navy’s warships at Portsmouth Naval Base and service the Royal Air Force’s Typhoon fast jet for 24/7 security operations. We make a significant economic and social contribution – delivering £10 billion to UK GDP and in the region of £4 billion in exports each year. In the UK we employ 35,300 people, and we support 143,000 full time jobs, investing £3.8 billion with 5,000 supplier companies. We are committed to levelling up regional communities by transferring knowledge, skills and technology. (Data from ’BAE Systems’ Contribution to the UK Economy’ published 2022)
View websiteMartial Power Programme Sponsor: Lockheed Martin
Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, Lockheed Martin Corporation is a global security and aerospace company that employs approximately 114,000 people worldwide and is principally engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products and services. Lockheed Martin has operated in the UK for over 80 years. From postal sorting technology to helping build the UK’s first commercial spaceport, its innovations and partnerships help solve some of the UK’s most complex challenges, contributing to national defence, security and prosperity.
View websiteMartial Power Programme Sponsor: Saab
Saab UK provides defence and security technologies that help to keep people and society safe. Our UK presence has been growing at pace bringing together the best of Swedish and British innovation. We work closely with our customers to ensure that they obtain advanced solutions for their requirements, whilst harnessing our core approach to ensuring value for money. Currently employing 300 people across seven sites, with a multi-million-pound supply chain that supports many thousands of British jobs, we expect this to increase further in the coming years. By partnering with our UK customers and industry we deliver innovative, solutions to complicated, multi-dimensional problems. Saab anticipates the threats of tomorrow and through collaboration ensures that our thinking edge pushes the boundaries.
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