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Rising Global Violence – Where, When, Why?
Around the globe violence is on the rise. Fifty years of bipolar antagonism gave way to 20 years of the American Moment. Now that relative geopolitical certainty is fading as other states challenge Western hegemony. With a growing risk of armed conflict involving major Powers in several regions of the world, inter-state rivalries are meanwhile being waged by low-intensity means in the cyber domain and through subversion and interference. At the same time the threat of Islamic terrorism remains potent and new forms of extremist violence are emerging on both Right and Left to challenge democratic societies.
After nearly twenty years of declining figures, armed violence is on the rise around the world, driven by a range of factors including state-to-state confrontation, civil wars and proxy warfare in which state actors support armed non-state actors to fight on their behalf. Regions of violent instability are emerging such as the Sahel, East Med. and Middle East, Black Sea, and Horn of Africa and Red Sea. Characterised by overlapping and interconnected conflicts, these clusters of violence create a fraught environment for international businesses and investors in search of opportunity.
What are the major trends in escalating global violence and how are these risks likely to evolve? Where are the key flashpoints to watch out for in 2021?
Speaker: Dr Neil Melvin, Director of International Security Studies, RUSI
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PREPARING FOR CONFLICT AND VIOLENCE SEMINARS
To provide insight into these trends, AIG and Talbot have partnered with the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) in a series of e-seminars.
Over three exclusive webinars RUSI experts will discuss the way the risk of conflict and violence has been evolving, where and how it might develop further, and what businesses can do to prepare.