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2017 Year Ahead

Commentary, 20 December 2016
Exploring the defence and international security agenda in 2017, RUSI's experts offer assessments on a diverse range of issues in what promises to be another dramatic year.


Global Security: RUSI's Deputy Director General Malcolm Chalmers suggests that 2017 could see increased tension between major powers, especially over areas such as trade and defence. Watch here

Populist Politics: Associate Director Dr. Jonathan Eyal, argues that in 2017 Europe may see a rise in populist politicians aiming to capitalise on the anti-establishment wave seen in Britain and the US with Brexit and the election of Donald Trump. Watch here

International Power Dynamics: RUSI International Security Studies Director Raffaello Pantucci says 2017 will be a year of change as major powers reconsider their international roles and non-states such as Daesh are forced to change how they operate as they continue to lose territory. Watch here

Defence Industry: RUSI Director of Defence, Industries and Society, Dr John Louth looks at how changing US attitudes to defence and security following the election of Donald Trump could see the growth of both European defence capabilities and spending as countries seek to fill the gap left by the US. Watch here

The Military Security Landscape: RUSI Military Sciences Director Dr Peter Roberts suggests that a change in international norms and behaviours will have significant impact in how major powers interact, with a heightened risk of escalation and a more unpredictable environment. Watch here

Finance and sanctions: RUSI Centre for Financial Crime and Security Studies Director Tom Keatinge says that with dramatic global political changes in 2016, 2017 will see a major interest in financial sanctions as a tool for the international system. . Watch here

Land Warfare: RUSI Research Fellow Peter Quentin predicts that 2017 will see a series of uncomfortable challenges for military leaders as they are forced to address how the military, and land forces in particular, can provide decisive effect on the ground. Watch here

Russia: RUSI Research Fellow Sarah Lain argues that Russia's foreign policy will continue to be a major story in 2017, especially their relationship with the US in the aftermath of the election of Donald Trump which may have a impact on the current sanctions regime. Watch here

The Middle East and Iran: RUSI Research Fellow Dr Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi looks at the Middle East in 2017 and believes that key areas will include post-Daesh stablisation and the international role of Iran. Watch here

Nuclear Policy and Proliferation: RUSI Research Analyst Cristina Varriale argues that with the election of Donald Trump, 2017 could be a uncertain and unpredictable year for nuclear policy. Watch here

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