http://rusi.org/ web@rusi.org en-us Copyright 2012 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4F328C88D1539/ With over 6000 dead, there is little option but to intervene in Syria and dismantle the regime. It is important that the international community joins the Arab states in their determination to get involved and ensure a stable post-Assad Syria. 2012-02-08 14:57:27 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4F328B3696A01/ Something needs to be done to stop the Syrian Army killing ever increasing number of its citizens. But Syria is far more complex than Libya and simply sending arms and further internationalising the Syrian Civil War will only exacerbate the war and elongate suffering. A more viable solution is for Arab states to use their muscle as energy suppliers to slow down the Assad regime. 2012-02-08 14:53:23 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4F0D955291B95/ Iran’s pursuit of a nuclear energy programme has created deep tensions and fear across the Middle East and the West. Despite this, and the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011, countries in the Gulf are now embarking on radical nuclear energy programmes with greater cooperation from the West. 2012-01-11 14:12:49 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4F0D7C4C3DB37/ The killing of a nuclear scientist in Tehran may well be the latest in a line of skirmishes between Iran and its American-led adversaries. Both sides are playing a zero-game, and neither coercive actions nor more negotiations are likely to bring a durable settlement. 2012-01-11 12:18:57 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4F04331DB4F7A/ The Taliban’s establishment of an office in Doha suggests a progression towards the transition long sought after by the United States. The choice of Qatar further cements the Gulf state’s ambition to be a diplomatic powerhouse. 2012-01-04 11:08:42 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EEB5672830A1/ RUSI Director General Professor Michael Clarke offers his defence and international security perspectives for the year ahead. 2011-12-16 14:34:02 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EEA41041E169/ If this year brought us an earthquake, then 2012 will be a year of aftershocks and transitions. Speculate as we might, we must still prepare for the predictable but watch for the surprises. 2011-12-15 18:56:54 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EEA239599750/ The democratic gains made from the Arab Spring are by no means assured. 2012 will see would-be democracies challenged to respond to and enable an historical transformation from dictatorship to democracy. 2011-12-15 16:44:26 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EDDF99D882B5/ Food security is an important geopolitical consideration for Gulf countries concerned with rising food demand in the face of low production rates and vast imports. In order to maintain food security, imports will remain vital, as well as ensuring the physical security of international and domestic supplies. 2011-12-06 11:24:43 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4ED8C83A526AC/ With the ransacking of the British embassy in Tehran, the West has further shrunk its repository of policy options, leaving sanctions as the policy tool of choice. However, while sanctions may slow Iran's forays into the nuclear field, they are unlikely to divert their course entirely. 2011-12-02 13:00:21 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4ED4BBB13B32B/ The Bahrain Independent Commission of Inquiry's (BICI) report has surprised many with its balanced findings into February's violence. But King Hamad must begin a reform process now instead of setting up another talking shop. 2011-11-29 11:30:48 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4ECE6A5C6E644/ Egypt's army cannot be allowed to hijack the revolution, and protesters will keep the pressure on. But what does that mean for elections, just days away? 2011-11-24 16:13:13 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4ECD0821A8A26/ As NATO concludes its military intervention in Libya, attention turns to counting the human cost of the conflict. 2011-11-23 14:50:57 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4ECCE29339F64/ Saudi Arabia's response to the Arab Spring has ranged from apparent inertia to the financing and leadership of counter-revolution, but at all times the stability of the kingdom has been its primary objective. 2011-11-23 12:11:07 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4ECCDFEA1CCB0/ Following the fall of the Qadhafi regime, North African states are considering the regional implications and reassessing their own relationships with the nascent Libyan state. 2011-11-23 11:59:07 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EC3B02CB65DD/ RUSI Director Professor Michael Clarke assesses the Libya military campaign after the fall of Qadhafi and the transition to a new Libyan government. He talks to Lizz Pearson and outlines RUSI's research into this intervention. 2011-11-16 12:47:55 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EC3B02CB65DD/ RUSI Director Professor Michael Clarke assesses the Libya military campaign after the fall of Qadhafi and the transition to a new Libyan government. He talks to Lizz Pearson and outlines RUSI's research into this intervention. 2011-11-16 12:47:55 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EC268A09E267/ The International Atomic Energy Agency's latest report on Iran describes in unprecedented detail a country moving slowly towards a nuclear weapons option, rather than a bomb itself. This lack of a 'smoking gun' removes military response from the international community's toolbox of policy options. But this is no grounds for complacency. 2011-11-15 13:37:10 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EB7E9D2686E7/ The appointment of a new Prime Minister in Jordan could mean a more comprehensive implementation of much needed reforms. But divisions and tensions between domestic political factions could once again stall this process. 2011-11-07 14:27:59 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EA58523DAB69/ The death of the long-serving Defence Minister ushers in a long-overdue process of succession. While there may be concerns over the role of the likely Crown Prince, Nayef bin Abdul-Aziz Al Saud, we should not expect a massive change in direction of Saudi policy in the region. 2011-10-24 16:43:37 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4EA119903342E/ The death of Colonel Qadhafi rids the world of a tyrant, but it is no milestone in the Arab Spring. To focus on the departed dictator is to miss the real story, and abstract notions of 'closure' won't magically translate into stable government. 2011-10-21 08:08:20 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E9D50E58B5A6/ Iran is accused of attempting to assassinate the Saudi Ambassador to the United States on American soil. It is the stuff of spy thrillers. If proved true, then both Saudi Arabia and the United States are well within their rights to declare war on Iran. Why would Iran embark on such an irrational action at a time of great internal and external vulnerability? 2011-10-18 11:12:36 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E9D4DD961F79/ There are many questions remaining in the accusations that Iran planned to assassinate the Saudi Ambassador to the United States. Yet the consequences are real: the failed plot, regardless of its actuality, heightens Iran’s conspiratorial view of the international community, while further closing hope for dialogue. 2011-10-18 11:05:46 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4E8EE4F916C94/ Israel has little to gain by scuppering a Middle East nuclear meeting, and disarmament efforts much to lose 2011-10-07 12:39:38 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E844D72554BD/ Throughout 2011, Turkish assertiveness in foreign policy has come to the fore, most recently in its dramatic diplomatic spat with Israel. This stance should not be mistaken for a re-orientation away from the Atlantic Alliance. 2011-09-29 11:51:55 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4E830C23CB0E6/ The weaknesses of Turkey's longstanding regional foreign policy have been exposed with the unfolding of the Arab Spring 2011-09-28 12:59:45 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N4E7B610E8D672/ A new RUSI report looks at the diplomatic, strategic and military aspects of the recent Libya campaign. 2011-09-23 04:45:00 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E6629BE98046/ American and European policymakers need to construct a new foreign policy framework and narrative if they are to improve the fractured relationship with the Muslim world after 9/11. 2011-09-06 15:11:58 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E5F89C75A55E/ The expected veto of Palestine's request for statehood in September could spur impetus amongst Palestinians towards a third intifada, if not catalyse it. This potentially has serious implications for the United States and Israel who, in light of the Middle East's current volatile climate, may be better off accepting the imminent bid. 2011-09-01 14:47:06 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E5F66F731EAB/ A new eavesdropping attack on Iranian GMail users suggests that the Islamic Republic is stepping up its digital offensive against dissidents. But Iran is not unique - it is just ahead of the curve. There is no simple response for Western governments. 2011-09-01 12:10:16 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E54EFDD03225/ Dire warnings of marauding rebels soaking Tripoli's streets with blood have simply not materialised, and are unlikely to do so. We should beware of unduly inflating the ghosts of Islamism, tribal factionalism and the chaos of Baghdad haunting the new Libya. 2011-08-24 13:35:45 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E53CF030EB3B/ Few dispute the assertion that NATO jets enabled Libyan rebels to come knocking on Qadhafi's door in Tripoli. But as he falls, it will be difficult to avoid the conclusion that NATO emerges from this successful operation weaker than it went into it. 2011-08-23 17:03:51 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E3685659531E/ As tanks roll into the Syrian town of Hama to crush opposition to President Assad, the international community has voiced its outrage at the ensuing human rights violations. But unlike Libya, words will not be followed up by deeds. 2011-08-01 11:54:37 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4E3681EFB0290/ Drone attacks will be unable to undermine AQAP's local attachments in Yemen 2011-08-01 11:37:38 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4E316A2B37D50/ Foreign aid will save the Hashemite monarchy – but will political reform pay the price? 2011-07-28 14:55:29 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E26B037138D6/ Since the fall of Mubarak, there has been much concern about the viability of the 30-year peace between Israel and Egypt. Egypt will certainly be a less pliable partner to Israel, but however threatened it may feel by its neighbour's changing social and political dynamics, the Jewish state need not panic about the peace treaty breaking. 2011-07-20 11:40:59 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E1F13F4D13B7/ NATO's engagement in Libya moves into its fourth month with the prospect of success looking more realistic. Such an achievement would be a long-time coming, and total success will not be assured. 2011-07-13 17:00:00 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4E12FD205C3C1/ Kuwait's Parliament is argumentative, obstreperous and stymied at the best of times. Now, with escalating Sunni-Shia tensions in the region, it is more paralysed than ever. 2011-07-05 13:06:01 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4DE784D09254E/ Libya has been ruled for decades as an unrelenting autocracy. What does this mean for the current civil war? 2011-06-02 13:41:39 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DE6283469504/ As events in Yemen are coming to an all too violent and bloody head, it is essential to examine the long-term implications of an increasingly unstable Yemen for both regional and Western security. 2011-06-01 12:57:47 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4DE516766B88A/ The departure of Al-Assad could lead the Syrian-Iranian alliance to stumble, but it will not destroy the relationship's foundations 2011-05-31 17:25:31 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4DE51510C183C/ Bashar Al-Assad's days are numbered, but his departure will not see the end to the challenges facing Syria. What must the West prepare for after Al-Assad? 2011-05-31 17:21:13 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4DE513969D7DB/ Some might see Iran's engagement in the Middle East as the final ingredient to a Shia crescent, but Arab Shia could just find it meddlesome 2011-05-31 17:17:58 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4DE50E125E40F/ 'Global solutions for African problems' may be the new mantra for the continent's security 2011-05-31 16:50:16 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DE4F24B36A54/ Operational success in Libya appears to be close for anti-Qadhafi rebels and their international military backers. But victory will bring the NATO powers little direct strategic benefit. Grateful for success, we should nevertheless be careful how we interpret it and understand the limitations of success for the West and the wider policy implications for the Middle East. 2011-05-31 14:51:15 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DDB6D8970D85/ For Israeli policymakers, President Obama's major Middle East speech on 19 May 2011 has been met with alarm. An American president has for the first time broken with the traditional US approach to Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations. The end result may harden attitudes on both sides of the conflict. 2011-05-24 09:34:22 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DDB6D8970D85/ For Israeli policymakers, President Obama's major Middle East speech on 19 May 2011 has been met with alarm. An American president has for the first time broken with the traditional US approach to Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations. The end result may harden attitudes on both sides of the conflict. 2011-05-24 09:34:22 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DD5923863AF9/ With its thirtieth anniversary in May, the Gulf Co-operation Council is proposing to expand by incorporating Morocco and Jordan. The unlikely inclusion is more a response and a challenge to the revolutionary impulses of the Arab Spring than it is towards regional coherence. 2011-05-19 22:58:37 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DD5923863AF9/ With its thirtieth anniversary in May, the Gulf Co-operation Council is proposing to expand by incorporating Morocco and Jordan. The unlikely inclusion is more a response and a challenge to the revolutionary impulses of the Arab Spring than it is towards regional coherence. 2011-05-19 22:58:37 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DD4F49BE6CAF/ Two months after intervention began, NATO's war in Libya has become an open-ended stalemate. A resolution requires compromises from each side rather than self-righteous declarations of total war. The balance of power does not permit a decisive victory for regime or rebels. A settlement must either reflect this fact, or give way to renewed fighting. 2011-05-19 11:46:55 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DD3A3D95BEE4/ Even though it faces a range of protests, Syria is unlikely to face popular-led regime change. Instead, unremitting instability and a standoff between protestors and the regime are more likely to follow leading to a combination of piecemeal reforms and more violence. However, internal challenges to the regime should not be ruled out. 2011-05-18 11:50:45 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DD273D68BC54/ Water scarcity, although a relatively low priority, is still a concern for the Middle Eastern security agenda. Gulf states in particular can lead the way in ensuring that water co-operation replaces the threat of water conflict. 2011-05-17 14:15:59 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DB342FB865A6/ Western intervention in Libya appears to be stalling, and the coalition has responded by committing military advisers and drones. But their priority, for the time being, is to purchase coalition longevity at the price of campaign intensity. 2011-04-23 22:24:02 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DAF07792660A/ As the UK sends military officers to advise Libyan rebels, RUSI analysts assesses the merits of the latest phase in the international intervention in Libya. 2011-04-20 17:20:02 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DAEB5DD10A7F/ Unmanned Aerial Vehicles have prompted widespread criticism, despite having proven their value in a variety of contexts. In many cases, their use may be the most logical - and safest - option. 2011-04-20 11:35:45 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DAD6729BFDBF/ The outcome of the anti-government protests in Yemen could have profound implications for the development of Al-Qa'ida in the Arabian Peninsula 2011-04-19 11:50:19 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DA85C7E0FB14/ Sortie figures show that, whilst NATO is undertaking extensive operations over Libya, it could - and should - be doing more. 2011-04-15 15:58:54 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DA573644A7D2/ The war in Libya is at a stalemate. Britain should avoid becoming beholden to the rebels and shun regime change, but ensure that any settlement is a self-enforcing equilibrium. 2011-04-13 11:14:48 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4DA47282158B0/ The uprisings have affected the governments of some of the world's largest oil exporters. In the long-term, however, supply is unlikely to be affected. 2011-04-12 16:41:45 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4D9EF0D206025/ As uprisings and revolutions continue apace across the Middle East, the West needs to re-evaluate its long-held approach to the region 2011-04-08 12:26:11 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D9DDD0CAD725/ If all parties involved in the Israeli-Palestinian are to avoid bruised reputations and bloodied hands, they need to change their approach. Embracing co-operative solutions to communal problems would be a start. 2011-04-07 17:00:47 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D9DD62361AF0/ Saudia Arabian foreign policy is determined - to a disproportionately large extent - by its fear of Iran, and its insistence that its neighbours fall in line could jeopardise the fragile alliances of the Gulf. 2011-04-07 16:29:57 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D9B3A344DA0B/ Arming the Libyan rebels in the hope of expediating the ousting of the Qadhafi regime would be at best misguided, at worst detrimental to their cause. 2011-04-05 17:04:28 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D964AD559FEC/ Other than grudging diplomatic and perhaps financial support, Arab and 'Muslim' support is primarily symbolic, not military. Relative to what could be provided, the Arab military hardware on show is vanishingly slight. 2011-04-01 23:01:35 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D94AA24C99DE/ The back-and-forth nature of the Libyan conflict thus far underlines the need for external actors to facilitate a decisive change of fortune 2011-03-31 17:24:41 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D91E71FD3A73/ Western policymakers may weigh up a number of ways to help the rebels in Libya - what should not be in doubt, however, is their obligation to provide some much-needed assistance. 2011-03-29 15:11:57 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D8C6D0C5F8CE/ Despite NATO's new Alliance Maritime Strategy, the protracted discussion around how best to respond to events in Libya means that Alliance solidarity and the need for reforms are increasingly important issues. 2011-03-25 10:24:07 http://rusi.org/publications/defencesystems/ref:A4D8A1F52E8654/ Colonel Gil Maoz, the head of the Israel Defence Forces’ Digital Army Programme, talks to Simon Michell about the ongoing development of the system 2011-03-23 16:27:06 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D89EB7F24CE1/ Arab support for military action against Libya was initially strong, arguably stemming from a desire to change the focus of international and domestic attention. But as civilian casualties increase, the political calculus is changing - and Arab support is wavering. 2011-03-23 13:05:56 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D8767117F1B2/ RUSI Director Professor Michael Clarke assesses British and French capabilities regarding the enforcement of the Libya no-fly zone. 2011-03-21 14:57:54 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D83436ABF69F/ The UN's approval of a no-fly zone over Libya has raised the diplomatic and strategic stakes for all parties - but will it be enough? 2011-03-19 11:00:00 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D84697B4FA13/ In the first of four videos, RUSI experts offer their assessment of UN Security Council Resolution 1973, declaring, amongst other things, a No Fly Zone over Libya. 2011-03-19 08:35:07 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D834B8C9DBFF/ The UN Resolution was the news many were waiting to hear - and Qadhafi's announcement of a ceasefire seems to have vindicated calls for intervention. But is this merely the first phase of an ill-conceived, protracted conflict? 2011-03-18 12:17:24 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D80925B1234B/ Saudi Arabia and the UAE have intervened in Bahrain to restore stability. Yet, there is a real sense of fear that in their haste to avoid allowing a precedent to be set and to prevent any potential Iranian interference, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi's actions may well precipitate these very outcomes. 2011-03-16 10:36:14 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D7E494272218/ Instability in Bahrain could develop into widespread sectarian violence, with potentially disastrous consequences for regional and global security. Concessions and preventative reform can ensure such a devastating path is avoided. 2011-03-14 16:59:22 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D7DF3B0B153F/ A no-fly zone is mired in political obstacles. Those states with a moral and strategic interest in forestalling a Qadhafi victory ought to step around that diplomatic morass. Assistance to the rebels - even non-lethal and non-tangible - is a feasible and effective option. 2011-03-14 11:11:02 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D78B7EE322E1/ Dr Jonathan Eyal on the UK's 'jerky policy' towards unrest in the Middle East, the complete lack of any contingency planning within the FCO, and the importance of accepting that there is no such thing as 'the Arab exceptionalism'. 2011-03-10 11:38:09 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D7109D002CD0/ The recent public questioning of French foreign policy comes at an inconvenient time for President Sarkozy, and has done nothing to reassure the French people of their nation's continued global influence. 2011-03-04 15:48:38 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D7105EF0E2BA/ Many claim that the revolutionary arc engulfing the Middle East will challenge terrorist groups and their narrative. But this ignores how groups might exploit the crisis to strengthen their positions and pose a more potent and sophisticated threat to the UK than they do at the moment. 2011-03-04 15:38:45 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D6FAFB3B61EA/ Imposing a No Fly Zone in Libya will be seen as a coercive step that may demand escalation. Western governments must therefore resist calls for a NFZ over Libya until it is clearly and convincingly the correct path to take. 2011-03-03 15:13:57 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D6F85386C4DA/ As the Qadhafi regime unleashes slow-motion slaughter in Libya, a no-fly zone is the most compelling response, particularly in the face of growing demands for limited assistance from Libyans themselves. Critics of such an idea have yet to explain why the limited efficacy of NFZs means that they ought to be shunned altogether, or why a time-limited NFZ cannot be later withdrawn if proven impotent. 2011-03-03 12:13:43 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D6645F55897C/ The causes of dissent in Libya are diverse - as are the factions which may end up jockeying for power. But the fact that they have emerged at all is perhaps the most surprising aspect of the uprising thus far. 2011-02-24 11:55:26 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D6645F55897C/ The causes of dissent in Libya are diverse - as are the factions which may end up jockeying for power. But the fact that they have emerged at all is perhaps the most surprising aspect of the uprising thus far. 2011-02-24 11:55:26 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D6529F464EAF/ Tribal rivalries, a corrupt military, and the absence of a legitimate political infrastructure mean that a post-Qadhafi Libya would have to overcome numerous obstacles in the pursuit of democracy. 2011-02-23 15:42:51 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D59406F17652/ Egypt is guaranteed neither a democratic nor a stable future, but the status quo had already failed in these respects. The transitional authorities need to sustain the democratic pressure of the uprising in order to meet the challenges ahead. 2011-02-14 15:02:29 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D5573428AA3C/ With Hosni Mubrak gone, no Arab leader should assume for a moment that they can somehow ride the revolutionary storm and maintain the status quo 2011-02-11 17:37:42 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D4FEDB5A51A5/ The Egyptian regime seems to be attempting to divide its opposition in order ensure that Vice-President Omar Suleiman should succeed in confirming his position as the future President of Egypt. 2011-02-07 13:17:15 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D4A9D0B08769/ What do recent developments in Russian foreign policy towards the Greater Middle East tell us about Moscow's long-term plans for involvement in the region? 2011-02-03 12:21:14 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D4885BE2D208/ An assessesment of the impact the Egypt protests will have on the wider Middle East and how this will effect Western policy towards the region. 2011-02-01 22:14:49 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D4683ACE22AC/ With unrest in Tunisia and Egypt increasingly being referred to as the tip of an iceberg, Western nations, and the activists themselves, should draw lessons from the past as they consider the future of an unsettled region. 2011-01-31 09:50:46 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:P4D5E78590C17F/ In this exclusive photo essay, Susan Schulman captures the challenges - mental and physical - faced by Corunna Company both as they prepare for deployment and after they arrive in south-western Iraq in Autumn 2004. 2011-01-18 13:00:00 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D34B6FF29918/ Will Tunisia's Jasmine Revolution be followed in other parts of North Africa and the Middle East, or will the opposition be co-opted into the status quo? 2011-01-17 21:42:51 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4D08ECEAB2D06/ Europe defeated, Beijing defiant: Can we expect anything new in 2011? 2010-12-15 16:30:26 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4CF8FCC3BDD1D/ Israel-Turkey relations have steadily deteriorated since the 2009 war in Gaza and have remained at an impasse since the flotilla incident. If Turkey wants to be a global player, both economically and diplomatically, it must become Israel's ally once again. 2010-12-03 14:44:14 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4CF4D68A3AE78/ Eight months after Iraq’s deadlocked parliamentary elections, the new coalition government has finally taken shape with Nouri al-Maliki yet again at the helm. As the leaked US embassy cables show however, the current sectarian power-sharing agreement may further weaken the Iraqi government and strengthen Iran’s role in the region. 2010-11-30 10:53:28 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4CED5C261C56E/ The Gulf States are arming, but they will still rely on others for security 2010-11-24 18:40:40 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4CED5BC7BC10A/ Saudi efforts in forming a new Iraqi government could prove the difference 2010-11-24 18:39:38 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4CE3E15FF40BD/ Advocates of pre-emptive attacks on Iranian nuclear related facilities and/or regime change should recognise that the risks and costs of such an attack remain prohibitive. 2010-11-17 14:10:57 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4CD94D9D647B1/ The recent emergence of Al-Qa’ida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) is part of a history of terrorism and conflict originating in Yemen. The West now needs to work with the Yemeni government and Civil Society Groups to prevent further attacks by Al-Qa’ida. 2010-11-09 13:34:24 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4CD43BD23C68D/ The recent bomb scare attributed to Al-Qa’ida has highlighted the need for a better co-ordinated and regulated air cargo screening process. 2010-11-05 17:16:18 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C9737E9AA053/ With the future stability of Afghanistan in question, does the answer lie in the incorporation of more female troops? 2010-09-20 11:38:10 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4C932D175FEB7/ The contested Israeli-Lebanon border remains a serious obstacle to peace 2010-09-17 09:56:38 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4C932CDD85315/ The Egyptian government’s anti-corruption campaign is failing to clean up the public sector 2010-09-17 09:55:34 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4C932B85440CB/ The recent kidnapping and execution by AQIM has alarmed France 2010-09-17 09:50:13 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C73DBAA78FA6/ As the US government prepares for its 2011 withdrawal date from Iraq, the finishing post may be further than anticipated. 2010-08-24 17:05:22 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C73F3780637F/ While the operational launch of Bushehr may receive only passing attention in the media, it represents a significant step forward for Iran’s potential nuclear weapons capability. With the danger of a nuclear domino affect hitting the Gulf States, how far can Iran’s claims of using nuclear technology for solely peaceful purposes be trusted? 2010-08-24 16:32:45 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4C6E4DE259E68/ Leadership decapitation is unleashing a Hydra in Iraq, as Al-Qa'ida withstands the assassination of its top ranks 2010-08-22 23:45:00 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N4C61621C59F10/ RUSI to broker a series of high-level meetings between UK and Kuwaiti policymakers 2010-08-10 16:30:35 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C5C052182E69/ As a number of Middle Eastern countries move to suspend BlackBerry services questions arise as to whether their concerns are really over security or more about an attempt to exert control in a cyber domain that does not adhere to national borders. 2010-08-06 14:05:44 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C4EA914DD54F/ The leaking of 90,000 combat reports from Afghanistan reveals a familiar but depressing picture of operations in Afghanistan. Yet their revelation comes at a critical juncture for policymakers. 2010-07-27 10:38:53 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C4DE4346B2D8/ How significant is the release of the Afghan war documents on WikiLeaks? RUSI Director Michael Clarke gives his assessment 2010-07-26 20:40:54 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C4969109746B/ Boycotting Hamas is not a sustainable option for the international community. There are currently several factors which could persuade Hamas to play by international norms and the European Union is well placed to enforce this. 2010-07-23 11:16:06 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C160A834CE8C/ Israel's use of force against the aid Flotilla has triggered increasing regional and international tension. As relations deteriorate, Israel must reconsider its defence policy if it is to avoid international conflict. 2010-06-14 11:56:17 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N4C0F6DC2C2608/ General David H. Petraeus, the current Commander of US Central Command spoke at RUSI's Land Warfare Conference on 9 June 2010. General Petraeus spoke of the enduring relationship between British and US Armed forces. 2010-06-09 11:45:10 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4C0921A698C37/ The Israeli attack on the so-called ‘Freedom Flotilla’ may well weaken President Obama’s stated intention to engage more actively with the Middle East Peace Process. While he is attacked domestically for not coming out more strongly in favour of Israel, in the Arab world, his position as an honest broker has been weakened. 2010-06-04 16:58:07 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4BF566DD21BB8/ India and Israel are strengthening a surprisingly robust alliance – albeit behind closed doors 2010-05-20 17:45:36 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4BF5663DC3EAF/ South Korea manages to turn heads by securing a lucrative nuclear contract in the UAE 2010-05-20 17:41:40 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4BF5637DBCED6/ The Algiers summit has finally produced some substance for meaningful co-operation. It could mean a new start for regional security 2010-05-20 17:29:58 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N4CA31AF4D7731/ Seeking updated perspectives on security co-operation in the Mediterranean, RUSI held in March 2010 a high-level conference in Rabat in partnership with the Embassy of the Kingdom of Morocco in London. 2010-03-23 11:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4BA0C7F57EE32/ The political landscape in Egypt is shifting. However, democratic reforms are required if its coming election is to match expectations at home and abroad 2010-03-17 12:15:51 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4BA0A45EDC053/ The importance of Iraq's national elections on 7 March cannot be over-estimated. While the ballots continue to be counted and discussions of possible alliances to form Iraq's next government ensue, it is pertinent to assess the electoral process itself and the next political stage of Iraq's infant democracy. 2010-03-17 09:47:38 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4B62D375B0ED6/ Tony Blair's evidence to the Iraq inquiry may focus on the legality of the war. But he is guilty of confused optimism rather than an urge to behave illegally. 2010-01-29 12:24:53 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4B5ECBACB14AB/ India’s traditional emphasis on foreign policy autonomy means that its deepening military and security ties with Iran should not be viewed as a surprise 2010-01-26 11:02:24 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4B5ECB98E0F68/ A knee-jerk, militarised response is not the answer. Sophisticated understanding of insecurity within a wider regional framework is required. 2010-01-26 11:01:51 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4B5ECB646C986/ Divisions between ‘Old’ and ‘New’ Europe about Israel are undermining the EU’s potential as an effective regional mediator in the peace process 2010-01-26 11:01:23 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4B475DF54843E/ It has now become apparent that the airline bomb suspect Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was trained in Yemen by Al-Qa'ida in the Arabian Peninsula. Neither the threat of this attack nor the danger posed by the group to Western interests should be exaggerated. 2010-01-08 16:50:24 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4B475B34EBDA8/ The failure of terror suspect Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab to blow up an airliner over the US has also highlighted failures in our counter-terrorism strategies and analysis, which must now be addressed. 2010-01-08 16:21:38 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4B2BAFC78828A/ Powerful structural forces inside Iran, not individual personalities, have brought Tehran to the brink of confrontation with the international community over its nuclear programme. Hope lies with closer US-Iran contacts - but this will come at the expense of even greater tensions with Britain and Israel. 2009-12-18 16:40:43 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4B28F530853A8/ Saudi Arabia pursues a dual strategy in the fight against terrorism. The West could learn from the security and rehabilitation programmes of the Kingdom 2009-12-16 14:58:39 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4B0BC86AF0F97/ Yemen is a battleground for Saudi Arabian and Iranian proxies in the struggle for regional dominance 2009-11-24 11:50:05 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4AF2CAD7E7536/ Reports of the United Arab Emirates entering into the advanced stages of negotiating a Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) with NATO comes at a time when the region continues to face threats of varying degrees, and the Atlantic alliance looks for a renewed role after celebrating its sixtieth anniversary. 2009-11-05 12:59:16 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N4AE828C2B53FE/ Turkey's fight against terrorism deserves more encouragement and support from its European partners, according to a new RUSI Occasional paper. 2009-10-28 11:26:31 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4AD6FC9F41077/ Speaking at RUSI's Qatar office on 12 October 2009, RUSI Council member and Shadow Security Minister Baroness Pauline Neville-Jones discussed the role the Middle East and the Gulf region could play in Britain's fight against terrorism over the next few years. 2009-10-15 11:52:26 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4AC61746EA3A7/ Barack Obama must dial up the diplomacy and provide more policy detail if he is to make progress on peace in the Middle East 2009-10-02 16:14:33 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4ABB85CAB4F4A/ Effectively starting from scratch with a force of varied backgrounds and global outlooks, the IDF underwent an unusual learning curve in its early stages, where previous experience and lessons of success were absent from the process until built up in years to come. 2009-09-24 15:48:29 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4AB7E3B86C0B8/ The recent emphasis on explaining to the wider public the aims and objectives of the campaign in Afghanistan is not a new phenomenon. The 'information campaign' has always been an essential pillar to the wider political and military strategy. However, the historic difficulties of forging a credible and successful 'story' in support of counter-insurgency operations are forcibly demonstrated by the British experience in Palestine in the aftermath of the Second World War. 2009-09-21 21:41:37 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A9E4172ED746/ Internal upheaval has delayed Iran’s response, due this month (September), to the US offer of nuclear talks. The response of the international community to Iran's ongoing nuclear programme will be observed with keen interest by Gulf Arab neighbours whose attitude is governed by the overriding desire to constrain Iran’s regional role. This raises questions as to what options are open to them, including what part they would play in increased US economic or military pressure on Iran. 2009-09-02 11:14:59 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A57630A8C4EC/ With the dispute of Iran’s election and new allegations of a plan by military officers in Turkey to discredit its own Islamic-rooted leadership, these seemingly-opposite governments both demonstrate a trend of uneasy relationships with their more progressive populations. 2009-07-10 16:54:08 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A4B2620A2286/ The date for the withdrawal of American troops from Iraq has been dubbed the ‘National Day of Sovereignty’, but the quest for Iraqi stability is not over yet. Iraqi politicians and US officials alike must now commit to encouraging the war-torn country to stand on its own feet. 2009-07-01 10:04:01 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A30FCD938D08/ The Lebanese elections were carried out peacefully, demonstrating progress in the democratic process, but a successful day of polling cannot completely cover remaining tensions between 'March 14' and 'March 8'. 2009-06-11 13:50:12 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A27FE9CA400C/ Obama’s Cairo speech has fulfilled the Obama administration’s determination to change in tone and substance the US dialogue with the Muslim world. It revealed an understanding of current political realities and the core beliefs of all parties. Through personal engagement he emphasised that violence should be rejected as a political tool. While Obama will have won credit to manage the challenges ahead, he must still show the moral authority to act in the face of criticism. 2009-06-04 18:06:44 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4A0A8EF2C9DBF/ The Obama Administration’s call for a fresh start with Iran have so far been met with hostility, a result of political battles within Iran’s governing faction. Yet the political squabbling masks a tentative movement in Iran away from hostility and towards engagement. 2009-05-13 10:32:10 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C49FCE0A01E12E/ Troops need to believe that they risk their lives for things that are genuinely important. 2009-05-03 01:12:17 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C49F9BEE224FA0/ The undoubted bravery and professionalism of British troops in Iraq disguised the deeper strategic failings of their mission. Leaders need to learn from the mistakes in Basra as we now concentrate in Afghanistan. 2009-04-30 16:10:11 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C49F6D4479F1E8/ Obama's presidency has been greeted with abundant goodwill in the Middle East and his rhetoric thus far has only bettered relations. Much depends on the concrete steps that will follow his fine words. 2009-04-28 11:08:43 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C49CFF9763279C/ Since the end of the Cold War, NATO has launched two initiatives that would improve its relationship with countries in the Middle East. Whilst there are undoubtedly common interests on which to build, the public perception of NATO in the region leaves much to be desired. The Alliance must tread carefully if it wishes to build lasting relationships in the region. 2009-03-29 23:44:16 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C49C12155A9421/ Following the Gaza crisis, pledges of aid for reconstruction are helping to strengthen the political will to create an effective Palestinian Unity Government. Although many challenges remain unresolved, some encouraging signs have emerged from the early stages of reconciliation talks. 2009-03-18 16:30:17 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N49A6DBCF2F267/ Key areas of co-operation identified for international, regional and national practitioners and policymakers. 2009-02-26 18:17:11 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C498C298546144/ The regional elections in Iraq took place in January in a much hoped for atmosphere of peace and security. The results will begin to show whether Iraq remains a patchwork of conflicting groups, or whether progress is being made to draw the country together and develop a sense of national unity. 2009-02-06 12:19:22 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A49804CF0236EB/ President Obama’s campaign trail effectively changed America’s policies on Iran through its declarations of direct engagement with Tehran and, most controversially, discourse with Iranian leaders ‘without pre-conditions’. With the current stand-off between the US and Iran entering its fourth decade, and the task facing the US to produce a diplomatic breakthrough seemingly ever-more arduous, now could be the time for genuine diplomacy and negotiations between the two. 2009-01-28 12:19:13 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C497D9F21ECFCD/ However disheartening the current war in Gaza has been, it can become the catalyst for such productive peace negotiations that will lead to the two-state solution. The latest conflict in Gaza has demonstrated to both sides that war can no longer improve their position over each other substantially enough to justify the cost involved. 2009-01-26 11:34:51 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C496F1DC545E4B/ Hamas has repeatedly stated that it has an army of 20,000 men that are willing to defeat their ‘Zionist enemy’ regardless of the cost, echoing the rhetoric of the second intifada (2000-2005). However, there is a crucial difference between the Hamas of the second intifada and the Hamas we see in Gaza today. 2009-01-15 11:35:54 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C496C7AEB68B4A/ Israel’s actions in Gaza are designed to deal with more than the present challenge presented by Hamas – there are long term existential issues at stake. If Israel is to deter its neighbours from becoming involved in wars in the future, it must set back the strategic penetration of Iran and its radical axis. 2009-01-13 11:32:37 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C496B4E1762972/ The culture of resistance in the Arab world has become more uncompromising and more anti-European as a result of the attacks on Gaza and the round of international diplomacy that has followed it. Israel and its supporters have already suffered a major strategic defeat. 2009-01-12 14:06:01 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4961F98592F4B/ At last the prospects for stability in Iraq seem good. With many changes expected in 2009 there is a real opportunity for the Iraqis themselves to seize the initiative and claim back their sense of sovereignty. Of course there are hurdles to clear such as provincial elections, defining the status of Kirkuk and managing sectarianism without the impartial US forces, but the current momentum should carry the Iraqis through. 2009-01-05 12:16:25 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C495E44985A8AB/ The underlying logic to the current Israeli military response in Gaza is that Hamas can somehow be destroyed. Instead, the strategy will fuel support for Hamas and will feed the single narrative of suffering that sustains Al-Qa’ida and its global ideological affiliates. 2009-01-02 16:48:16 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C494B9295ACCE1/ As the UK announces its withdrawal from Iraq, an overall judgement of its deployment should be a favourable one. Although it has become clear that the softer British approach is no longer appropriate, the UK contingent has made significant progress in preparing the Iraqis to cope with their own security. 2008-12-19 12:27:19 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A4901E9B4BB48C/ Libyan President Muammar Al-Qaddafi has transformed the international perception of his country in recent years. But Libya's rehabilitation may not quite be the model it first appears. 2008-10-24 16:29:46 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A48DCF033DD420/ The ruling AKP’s foreign policy of ‘strategic depth’ invites the possibility of restructuring relations between the East and the West on a footing that reconciles its traditional roles with both. 2008-09-26 15:23:03 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A488755A15CC45/ This article explains the reasons for the differing treatment the Iranian and North Korean nuclear threats have recieved from the West, highlighting that the threat from Iran is greater than that of North Korea. 2008-07-23 17:02:02 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C482C37D86C34E/ The latest stand-off between Hezbollah and the Lebanese government underlines the primacy of the Shia movement. They have now fundamentally challenged the terms of the grand bargain between Lebanon’s many different sects and confessions. 2008-05-15 14:18:40 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N48171734EF2E6/ To mark the fifth anniversary of the Iraq War, the Royal United Services Institute has published a major retrospective on the conflict. 2008-04-09 13:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A47E10435F2532/ The publication of the US National Intelligence Estimate has caught the Gulf States off balance. 2008-03-19 12:18:43 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C479637092C586/ The British left must face-up to the truth: Iran could still develop a nuclear bomb in the next few years. This can only be avoided, says Malcolm Chalmers, by engagement and diplomacy. 2008-01-22 18:40:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A478CC1B17B4FF/ Looking into the structures which define Europe’s relations with its southern neighbouring region, this article calls for further developments in EU-NATO co-operation within the security arena. 2008-01-15 14:23:04 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4784DF6A9E6B2/ The US President visits the Gulf amidst heightened tension between the United States and Iran. But the latest episode in the Straits of Hormuz only underlines the wariness towards both countries by Gulf Arab States. 2008-01-09 14:52:23 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C47289E3D4C118/ An analysis of the means the US should employ in its policy towards Iran's nuclear ambitions. A combination of sticks, carrots and diplomacy might serve Washington's aims better than sanctions and rhetorical brinksmanship. 2007-11-01 00:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A471C785BBB5A6/ On 29 July 2007, the Bush Administration announced plans to provide an estimated $63 billion worth of advanced weaponry to several of its key allies in the Middle East. 2007-10-22 11:23:07 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C470E1C4C0F8CC/ The validity of the US forces' figures for insurgent caualties is difficult to judge beyond the certainty that they will not be accurate. 2007-10-11 13:55:34 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C46F90F06A59F5/ Violent interventions in the sovereign space of other states are rapidly becoming a familiar feature of contemporary global politics. 2007-09-25 14:39:32 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N46F0DDB73C0ED/ General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker comes to RUSI to share their assessments on Iraq. General Petraeus warned of the devastating consequences from premature drawdown of forces. 2007-09-19 09:30:06 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C46EE8C1BA48B6/ For British leaders Iran may seem like a basket case at present, but it has to be handled politically not militarily. 2007-09-17 15:16:47 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A467280213B3A3/ The international community should devote more attention to universal nuclear disarmament and no-first use guarantees, especially against non-nuclear states. 2007-06-15 13:03:47 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C462C7605F0D4B/ What should be made of the recent spate of helicopter losses in Iraq? Are they a series of unfortunate coincidences, an indication of poor practice in coalition activities or the result of enhanced insurgent operations? 2007-04-23 10:00:00 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C46080D68E3CB6/ In light of the established evidence, the Iranian seizure of Royal Navy personnel seems bizarre 2007-03-26 19:14:26 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A45F5874C6B31A/ A leaked EU report recognises that diplomatic efforts to halt Iran’s nuclear weapons programme have failed. Member states must decide whether they can accept a nuclear Iran, and what can be done to stop its programme. 2007-03-12 17:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A45E40F7332439/ While the Iranian acquisition of nuclear weapons would, of course, have enormous strategic ramifications throughout the region and beyond, it is far from certain that it would provoke a nuclear arms race with any country. Much more likely, instead, is an arms race to acquire a clear edge in the means to wage conventional war. 2007-02-27 11:01:38 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N45E2AD89A250E/ Redeploying troops from Iraq to Afghanistan makes perfect military and political sense 2007-02-26 09:54:59 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A45D996252CA69/ The heat may be rising on Ahmadinejad, but Tehran’s fundamental strategic position has not altered. 2007-02-19 12:21:00 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N45488CCF9CAC6/ According to a new paper produced by Jeff Michaels, associate fellow of the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), an influential Whitehall think-tank, the fledgling all-volunteer Iraqi armed forces are “not fit for purpose” and will need massive military support from the West for some time to come. Michaels bases his argument on the fact that the new Iraqi forces are essentially a “light infantry army” which lacks any heavy armour and support units. Without conscription, he claims, “many of the hundreds of thousands of Iraqis who should be employed in military service are currently unemployed, and provide a steady source of recruits for the insurgency”. 2006-10-22 12:00:00 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N45488CCF9CAC6/ According to a new paper produced by Jeff Michaels, associate fellow of the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), an influential Whitehall think-tank, the fledgling all-volunteer Iraqi armed forces are “not fit for purpose” and will need massive military support from the West for some time to come. Michaels bases his argument on the fact that the new Iraqi forces are essentially a “light infantry army” which lacks any heavy armour and support units. Without conscription, he claims, “many of the hundreds of thousands of Iraqis who should be employed in military service are currently unemployed, and provide a steady source of recruits for the insurgency”. 2006-10-22 12:00:00 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C4534C62EF11B3/ The end of ambiguity about Pyongyang's nuclear capacity raises fundamental questions affecting China, the United States, and the future of international non-proliferation strategy. Indirectly, these consequences could actually work to the advantage of the West in its attempts to prevent Iran 'going nuclear'. 2006-10-17 13:00:00 http://rusi.org/news/ref:N45488E0CD5065/ Amyas Godfrey, a former British army officer at the Royal United Services Institute, said officials have responded to public pressure to set a timetable for a withdrawal from Iraq by saying that it will come "when the job is done." So it is significant, he said, that the army chief has said: "We should be leaving." 2006-10-14 12:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A452E517720DEB/ Is Dubai about to become the world’s most obvious target for Al-Qa’ida? 2006-10-12 15:30:43 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A452E517720DEB/ Is Dubai about to become the world’s most obvious target for Al-Qa’ida? 2006-10-12 15:30:43 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A452E16D356565/ For a US president facing mid-term elections from a position of weakness, this is hardly the best moment to make momentous decisions on North Korea and Iran 2006-10-12 11:20:05 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C44E5877FD7759/ After a month long war, perhaps the most significant in the Middle East in its recent history, are we now witnessing a new regional order? 2006-08-18 10:38:44 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A44C9DBB59CDF4/ This article examines how an air campaign against Iranian nuclear sites would fare in the event that international diplomatic efforts fail to deter Tehran from mastering nuclear weapon technologies. 2006-06-28 10:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A44315AA4A9295/ Over energy security, the United States and China are starting to find themselves bound into a cycle of mutual distrust. 2006-04-03 18:26:56 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A44315A02C8E6D/ Of all the regions of the world, why did Rumsfeld and all have to walk into this one – and now? 2006-04-03 18:24:06 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A43DDF188D6082/ Iran's competing power groups can offer restraint and caution that is not present in areas of President Ahmadinejad’s direct control 2006-01-30 11:00:02 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:P4215D3F0EA47A/ Stopping Iran from achieving nuclear capability is a good thing – not least because failure to do so will spawn a nuclear race throughout the region. 2005-02-18 11:39:28 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:P4214BC35CCFB9/ Aside from the threat of being attacked, this suggests that there are other reasons why Israel appears so concerned about the possible development of an Iranian nuclear warhead. 2005-02-17 15:45:57 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:P4214B51ECA8AA/ As with the reports which provided the impetus for US and UK intelligence service reforms, their styles are very different. 2005-02-17 15:15:42 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:P41BD74CDB2209/ Despite initial euphoria at the agreement between the EU3 and Iran, the reaction to the deal quickly exposed some of the political tensions that may eventually prove to be its undoing. 2004-12-13 10:54:05 http://rusi.org/analysis/commentary/ref:C41B5DFC5E0839/ Arafat is dead. Across the Arab world, the news was greeted with an outpouring of shock and mourning that dwarfed anything we have seen in the West since the generation of WWII leaders died. 2004-12-07 00:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:P4173B26FAACDA/ Is the threat of UN-imposed economic sanctions on an oil-dependent country, widely regarded as the most effective way of bringing the nuclear programme to heel, really the only way of meeting the Iranian challenge? 2004-10-18 13:09:19 http://rusi.org/publications/monitor/ref:A473DB915C105A/ This article proposes a unique solution to the security problems plaguing Iraq's oil infrastructure. 2004-09-01 15:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:P41459D0509C3A/ Despite the multiple and manifold divisions in transatlantic relations of late, policy-makers in Washington and the European capitals seem to be edging towards accord on at least one issue: our present policies on Iran are not working. 2004-09-01 09:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:P4129D0A009ADC/ Our intelligence community costs upwards of £1.5 billion annually, and prides itself on the top level assessments of its much admired Joint Intelligence Committee (the JIC), yet something went wrong. 2004-08-23 12:10:23 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7be5f1fb/ Regardless of the negative image the United States and Saudi Arabia may have in each other’s media, 2004-06-18 12:23:45 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7be0259c/ Saif Al Islam Al Qadhafi, son of Libyan leader Muammar Qadhafi and heir-apparent, outlines his thoughts on peace and security on the African continent. 2004-06-18 12:23:45 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7b9de13c/ Iranian academic Jalil Roshandel examines why Iran may be seeking Weapons of Mass Destruction 2004-06-18 12:23:44 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7b57036b/ 2004-06-18 12:23:44 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7b69264b/ Michael Codner provides a compelling round-up of UK military options and the implications of war in Iraq 2004-06-18 12:23:44 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7b51370b/ 2004-06-18 12:23:44 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7b7b492b/ The foreign policy of Saudi Arabia over the past half century has been based upon a careful balancin 2004-06-18 12:23:44 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f789ca8bc/ 2004-06-18 12:23:42 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f77e83beb/ 2004-06-18 12:23:42 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f77d04cab/ Short of a truly radical upheaval in global energy markets, the world is likely to rely increasingly on Middle East oil for the next twenty years or so. 2004-06-18 12:23:42 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7693f62b/ 2004-06-18 12:23:41 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f766359eb/ 2004-06-18 12:23:41 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f74d1ac3f/ 2004-06-18 12:23:40 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:P40C892701370C/ Iraq serves as a potent illustration of how deeply embedded today’s private sector is in the business of security and war, and why questions over legislation require urgent attention. 2004-06-10 17:55:12 http://rusi.org/publications/monitor/ref:A473DAABF144F9/ This article explores the nature of the violent insurgency in Iraq and the debate over foreign fighters in the conflict. 2004-05-01 14:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:P40756407805AD/ This article provides a macro perspective of Saudi Arabia's place in the global 'war on terror'. 2004-04-08 15:39:03 http://rusi.org/publications/monitor/ref:A473D7E2BB5348/ This article analyses Hizbullah’s continued activities iN Africa within the context of the war on terrorism. 2004-03-01 11:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:J40c1f7fc073bb/ This article assesses the politicization of intelligence and the factors that led to the UK government's insistence that Iraq posed a sufficient threat to British interests to justify war. 2004-02-18 12:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/monitor/ref:A473D7C0EE0C41/ The turmoil in Algeria means that greater international >scrutiny is being devoted to the effectiveness of the regime's counter-terrorism strategy. 2003-12-01 11:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:J40d32ea88947c/ Libya is being slowly rehabilitated and looks set to continue, albeit slowly, with a number of domestic questions being left unanswered. 2002-08-01 09:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A47596C7CC224B/ Despite the prevailing pessimism, the chances of negotiations being restarted between Israel and the Palestinian authorities are in reality much improved. 2002-04-01 15:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:J40d32ea7e05d8/ Perhaps because he has written himself into the plot as indispensable, President Hosni Mubarak’s advancing years and the question of the succession have become a political issue. He claims he has yet to find a suitable vice president. 2001-11-01 09:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:J40d32ea7c73b3/ United States, World Trade Centre, terrorism, Middle East, intelligence 2001-10-01 09:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:J40d32ea719263/ The recent elimination of long-standing disputes and other diplomatic hurdles in relations with Iran and Libya has enabled London some room for manoeuvre in the Middle East, but without causing serious difficulties in Britain’s relations with Washington. 2000-02-21 09:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/journal/ref:A4CEBBBD10F73C/ 1857-05-01 13:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/monitor/ref:A473DBED9CE68A/ This article assesses the increasing violence in post-Saddam Iraq and its potential outcomes. 0000-00-00 00:00:00 http://rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A442BB15A64C6C/ The resolution of the case of the Bulgarian nurses opens up the next stage of normalization between Libya and the West. But where can relations between Libya and the West go now? 0000-00-00 00:00:00